Insights · Capital Markets & Macro Review

FY2023-24 · Annual review

Strong Growth, Patient Policy

Growth surprised on the upside while the RBI held rates steady all year. Stable conditions made it a year for strengthening balance sheets and financial reporting.

By Meridian – The Consulting FirmCovers 1 April 2023 – 31 March 2024Published 6 November 2026

Key points

  • Real GDP grew 8.2% in the provisional estimate, led by public investment and manufacturing.
  • The repo rate was unchanged at 6.50% for the entire year; CPI inflation eased to 5.4%.
  • The Nifty 50 rose 28.6%; the 10-year yield eased to about 7.05%.
  • The rupee was one of the more stable major currencies, ending at about 83.37 per US dollar.

The year in brief

FY2023-24 combined strong growth with gradually easing inflation. Real GDP grew 8.2% in the provisional estimate, supported by heavy government capital expenditure on infrastructure and resilient manufacturing and construction activity. Under the new GDP series with base year 2022-23, released in February 2026, growth for the year is now estimated at 7.2%.

Food inflation remained volatile because of uneven rainfall, but core inflation fell steadily through the year.

FY2023-24 at a glance
IndicatorValueNote
Real GDP growth8.2%Provisional estimate, May 2024; 7.2% under the new 2022-23 base series (Feb 2026).
CPI inflation, annual average5.4%MoSPI / RBI
RBI repo rate, year-end6.50%RBI
10-year government bond yield, year-end≈7.05%Approximate, last trading day
Nifty 50, year-end close22,326.90+28.6% over the year, price only
USD/INR, year-end≈83.37Rupee weaker by ≈1.4%
Central government fiscal deficit5.6% of GDPProvisional actuals

Policy and credit

The RBI paused after its 2022-23 tightening and held the repo rate at 6.50% at every meeting of the year, keeping its focus on bringing inflation durably to the 4% target. Credit growth was strong. In November 2023 the RBI increased risk weights on unsecured consumer credit and on bank lending to non-bank lenders, which tightened the supply of personal loans. The fiscal deficit narrowed to 5.6% of GDP.

In September 2023 India's government bonds were announced for inclusion in a major global emerging-market bond index, with inclusion beginning in June 2024, which was expected to bring steady foreign demand for government debt.

Markets

The Nifty 50 ended the year at 22,326.90, up 28.6%, with strong participation from domestic investors. The 10-year government bond yield eased to about 7.05%. The rupee depreciated only about 1.4% against the US dollar, supported by large foreign-exchange reserves.

What it meant for businesses

Stable interest rates gave businesses a clear basis for planning. Demand was strong in sectors linked to infrastructure and construction, while some consumer segments were more uneven. Personal borrowers felt the tightening of unsecured credit, which affected households relying on personal loans to manage cash flow.

Long-term perspective

Calm years are the best time to prepare for difficult ones. The practical priorities are:

  1. Refinance or term out short-term debt while conditions are stable.
  2. Introduce monthly management reporting (MIS) with a small set of key performance indicators.
  3. Prepare a lender-ready information pack before it is needed: projections, CMA data and audited statements.

Sources and method

  • Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI): national accounts press releases and CPI releases.
  • Reserve Bank of India: Monetary Policy Statements, Annual Reports and the Database on Indian Economy (DBIE), including the USD/INR reference rate.
  • National Stock Exchange of India: Nifty 50 index closing values.
  • Ministry of Finance / Controller General of Accounts: Union Budget documents and provisional accounts (fiscal deficit).

Fiscal year runs 1 April to 31 March. GDP growth is shown as first published after the year closed; later official revisions are noted in the table. Market levels are closing values on the last trading day of the fiscal year; bond yields and exchange rates are rounded. Index changes are price only and exclude dividends.

Important information. This review describes past economic and market conditions for general information. It is not investment advice, research on any security, or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any financial product, and it does not forecast future returns. Meridian – The Consulting Firm is not registered with SEBI, AMFI or IRDAI. We provide business and financial-management consulting only and do not provide investment advice, research analysis or distribution of financial products. For decisions about your business, book a meeting.